There was good news and bad news for the wheat market last week. Unfortunately, dark clouds continue to shroud whatever good news the market gets. Futures are building a base of support, but one that could just as easily be broken as lead to a fall rally.
Exports are finally starting to pick up, with a weak dollar helping make U.S. wheat competitive on world markets. Demand for wheat, however, just doesn't look all that impressive. That could change, especially with an El Nino building that could hurt production in Argentina and Australia. But those are "what if" situations in a world that increasingly says "what have you done for me lately."
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