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Margin for Error on This Year's Corn Stocks is Razor Thin

Arlan Suderman and John Jenkinson talk markets on The Ag Network.

Compiled by staff

Published: Jul 6, 2010

Farm Futures Market Analyst Arlan Suderman says that Wall Street is disenchanted with equity markets suddenly grains look very opportunistic, a chance to take that money and run with it.

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Tagged: farm, farm futures, arlan suderman, farm futures market

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I always enjoy hearing your comments and take on the markets. As I was listening to you exchange with John Jenkinson, it brought several questions to mind. I know you get a lot of feedback from farmers around the country, are many of them voicing concerns that because of the extremely wet weather we have been having, that the root structure of the corn is not deep enough and anchored well enough to withstand the possibility of the dry conditions that some are predicting? Has there been a considerable loss of Nitrogen because of the wet weather, and how many farmers are going to reapply some if they can get in the field? I travel through Iowa, Nebraska, Missouri and Kansas on my business, and as a result see the good and the bad in the crops. I have not been into Missouri or Kansas lately, but have traveled around Iowa and Nebraska quite a bit this year. Two weeks ago I traveled to Holdrege, NE and on that trip I noticed some excellent stands of corn in Iowa and Nebraska, but along the Western edge of Iowa I saw more ponds in the field than corn or beans, I don't think those acres will be recoverable this year. The corn in Nebraska overall looked good, but as you looked down the rows in many of the fields was a good two to three inches of standing water, it would seem because of the canopy from the leaves it would take awhile before this water disappeared, and some of the plants were starting to turn yellow. I talked with the gentleman who farms my farm in SE Iowa, he said my crops looked good, but they were side dressing anhydrous to replace any that may have been lost from the extremely wet weather in that area. He said the ground had dried out considerably during last week, and cracks were starting to appear. Am I off base thinking that the USDA is going to be surprised again in their next report? I some times wonder if they are fudging their numbers, or if they are out of touch with what is taking place in the fields. I would appreciate your comments on what your hearing from around the country. Thanks
Posted by J. Donaldson on July 6 at 5:24 PM

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Margin for Error on This Year's Corn Stocks is Razor Thin

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